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Thursday, 22 August 2013

2013 Team Outlook: Miami Dolphins

08:40

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A fantasy football preview of the Miami Dolphins this season. Profiled players include Ryan Tannehill, Matt Moore, Lamar Miller, Daniel Thomas, and Mike Gillislee.by Chris Weeks, Wednesday, August 21, 2013 10:34:21 AM CDT FFToolbox.com

The converted wide receiver now NFL starting quarterback had a less than stellar rookie campaign in 2012. In 15 games Ryan threw for just under 3,300 yards with 12 touchdowns, while yielding 13 interceptions. By no stretch would fantasy owners want numbers like these from their starting quarterback. Even with the addition of Mike Wallace, the Dolphins' receiving corp will struggle this year. Tannehill is still a project in the works and while some believe he will become a good NFL quarterback, we wonder just how long that will take. Until we see some consistent play from Ryan, it is best to find a better option come draft day.

There were rumors Moore would sign a new contact elsewhere and become a starting quarterback for another team this season, but those were nothing more than rumors. When the dust settled, Moore resigned with the Dolphins and will once again backup Ryan Tannehill. With so much invested in Tannehill, it would take an injury to Ryan for Moore to see playing time this season. Even if he does make it on the field, there are plenty of better options for fantasy owners. There is no reason for anyone to want Moore on their roster at the start of this season.

Update (8/21): Miami OC Mike Sherman was quoted as saying they're "neck-and-neck" when referring to Miller and Thomas competing for the starting job. This is not good news for Lamar Miller owners or soon to be owners. A time share in the backfield would hurt Miller's value, while only raising Thomas' slightly.

With the departure of Reggie Bush, the door opens for Lamar Miller to step in and become the Dolphins' number one back. If nothing else, Miller should win the job because he is the healthiest non rookie back on the roster. If you're looking for a starting back as a second of third option then Lamar is a good choice. He's not going to post great fantasy numbers, but he should hit the 70-90 yard mark with an occassional touchdown. One item of note for owners looking at Miller would be to keep an eye on Daniel Thomas and Mike Gillislee, because if their playing time increases Miller's time may be ending soon.

Update (8/21): Miami OC Mike Sherman was quoted as saying they're "neck-and-neck" when referring to Miller and Thomas competing for the starting job. A timeshare here could help Thomas' value slightly, but would put a hurting on Miller's value. Keep an eye on this situation as the preseason progresses.

When Reggie Bush signed with Detroit this winter, Thomas had to be excited about the opportunity this presents him. With a solid pre-season performance, Thomas could be named the Dolphins' week one starter. This assumes his knee holds out, he doesn't sustain a concussion, and he holds on to the rock (and of course that the Dolphins don't cut Thomas at some point this summer). With all this uncertainty surrounding Daniel, it is probably best for fantasy owners to keep away until all the dust settles.

If there's one thing we can count on in Miami, it is that their backfield will be a mess this season. With Reggie Bush signing in Detroit, the Dolphins were left with a lot of nothing in the backfield. For that reason they selected Gillislee in the fifth round in hopes he can help stop the bleeding. As a rookie it will take some time for Mike to adjust to the pace and understand the protection NFL running backs need to provide. Once he is established, Mike could become the Dolphins' third down back and possibly take some carries from Miller. Until we see how often Mike steps on the field, it is probably best for fantasy owners to pass on him for now.

We all know Wallace went to Miami, but what we don't understand is why he went to Miami? The Dolphins have a very limited run game and a quarterback who has played a total of 34 games under center in his lifetime. We feel pretty much the same way as most do about Wallace's fantasy value this season: a few games he'll score a ton and in the rest he'll do little. If you're an all or nothing owner then Mike is your man. I'm not sure that will win you a championship, so you may want to reserve Wallace's time in your starting lineup for the right matchup. As a number one receiver Wallace has value, but just how valuable is yet to be seen with so much uncertainty under center and in the backfield.

Update: Chemsitry was lacking early in the pre-season, however Wallace and Tannehill seem to be making up for that recently. With the loss of TE Dustin Keller, Mike Wallace gets a bump in our rankings this week.


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